tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5487352739478237173.post1651165106403604439..comments2024-02-18T15:39:19.669-05:00Comments on Way Out In The Margin: Philosophy: Glitch's RazorGlitchhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12942149998208274209noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-5487352739478237173.post-13079801431736270142008-12-02T12:49:00.000-05:002008-12-02T12:49:00.000-05:00I think there may be an even simpler explanation f...I think there may be an even simpler explanation for I-985's defeat. When asked to decide on a complicated ballot measure with limited information, <I>voters tend to vote no</I>. <BR/><BR/>In fact, late undecideds I-985 (about 2/3 of the state electorate) broke against the initiative at almost the exact same rate as undecideds broke against I-1000 and Prop 1, also on the ballot in November. It's just that there were way more late undecideds for I-985 than there were for the other 2.<BR/><BR/>Having worked hard against I-985, I would love to be able to take some credit for its defeat. The opposition did its very best to convince voters that it was dumb public policy. <BR/><BR/>But I think the simplest explanation for the defeat is probably the most accurate: voters were weakly attached to the issue, and didn't have much information about it--and those sorts of voters tend to vote "no," regardless of the actual content of the ballot language. So as powerful as Glitch's razor may be, I think Occam's may suffice in this case.CWDhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17179918153782303092noreply@blogger.com